Indicator
Poland GDP 2015–2027: economic growth and catching up with the EU
Poland’s real GDP growth year by year against the euro area and the EU, GDP per capita in purchasing power as a share of the EU average, and NBP and European Commission forecasts for 2026–2027.
Periodfrom 2015to 2025
Grab the FROM or TO tile and slide it sideways. Drag the middle to move the whole period. P = forecast.
- Poland real GDP, 2015–2025
- +42,5 %
- +3,6 % / year
- Euro area, 2015–2025
- +15,4 %
- +1,4 % / year
- EU-27, 2015–2025
- +17,1 %
- +1,6 % / year
- GDP per capita, EU = 100, 2025
- 81
- +15,7 % since 2015 (70)
- Poland
- Euro area
- EU-27
| Year | Poland (NBP fcst) | Poland (EC fcst) | Euro area | EU-27 | GDP/cap., EU = 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 4,4 % | 4,4 % | 2,1 % | 2,4 % | 70 |
| 2016 | 3,0 % | 3,0 % | 1,8 % | 1,9 % | 69 |
| 2017 | 5,2 % | 5,2 % | 2,7 % | 2,8 % | 70 |
| 2018 | 6,2 % | 6,2 % | 1,8 % | 2,1 % | 72 |
| 2019 | 4,6 % | 4,6 % | 1,7 % | 1,9 % | 74 |
| 2020 | -2,0 % | -2,0 % | -6,0 % | -5,5 % | 78 |
| 2021 | 6,9 % | 6,9 % | 6,4 % | 6,4 % | 79 |
| 2022 | 5,3 % | 5,3 % | 3,7 % | 3,6 % | 78 |
| 2023 | 0,2 % | 0,2 % | 0,4 % | 0,4 % | 77 |
| 2024 | 3,2 % | 3,2 % | 1,2 % | 1,3 % | 79 |
| 2025 | 3,8 % | 3,8 % | 1,2 % | 1,4 % | 81 |
Sources: Eurostat. Forecast: NBP projection, July 2026, European Commission forecast, spring 2026. Data retrieved 2026-10-14.
How it is computed
- 1Cumulative growthAnnual growth rates (Eurostat, constant prices) are compounded: (1 + g1) × (1 + g2) × … − 1. On the comparison chart all three forecasts come from the European Commission so they share a method; the table also shows the NBP forecast for Poland.
- 2Purchasing powerGDP per capita in purchasing power standards (PPS) removes price differences between countries. EU average = 100: a value of 81 means the average Polish resident produces 81 % of the EU average.
Frequently asked questions
What will GDP growth be in 2026 and 2027?
The NBP July projection: 3.7 % in 2026 and 2.8 % in 2027. The European Commission spring forecast: 3.5 % and 2.8 %. I update them after every new forecast round.
Is Poland catching up with the EU?
Yes: GDP per capita in purchasing power rose from 70 % of the EU average in 2015 to 81 % in 2025 – 11 points in ten years. At the current growth gap, the distance shrinks by roughly one point a year.
When did Poland’s GDP fall?
Within 2015–2025 only in 2020, by 2.0 % (pandemic). Growth was slowest in 2023 (0.2 %) and fastest in 2021 (6.9 %).
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